Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 11.031580 12.347379 13.825867 15.624155 17.771324 20.277356 23.460197
2025-04-27 9.505051 11.222477 13.309500 16.081379 19.744106 24.537228 31.498433
2025-05-04 8.222012 10.023117 12.319109 15.544099 20.103264 26.568888 36.952772
2025-05-11 7.625869 9.558306 12.127843 15.925302 21.645853 30.424766 46.076544
2025-05-18 6.981024 8.931201 11.607271 15.719095 22.231512 32.893546 53.698861
2025-05-25 6.465233 8.415933 11.165686 15.536455 22.776058 35.358382 62.155507
2025-06-01 6.068861 8.024617 10.849882 15.484193 23.493668 38.252781 72.640510
2025-06-08 5.646900 7.556918 10.368872 15.096679 23.550780 39.898452 81.052017
2025-06-15 5.365639 7.271725 10.134678 15.077432 24.250985 42.975906 94.595926
2025-06-22 4.982163 6.804826 9.576732 14.442569 23.690375 43.245802 100.591171
2025-06-29 4.626925 6.359023 9.019562 13.753055 22.925479 42.899121 104.652381
2025-07-06 4.353631 6.023658 8.616654 13.298061 22.565550 43.420722 111.960189
2025-07-13 4.425799 6.239144 9.141294 14.604621 26.116037 54.724260 169.255510
2025-07-20 4.323886 6.170324 9.184978 15.021556 27.859771 62.131659 222.525493
2025-07-27 4.081232 5.857881 8.786326 14.533255 27.443770 63.175276 245.040662
2025-08-03 3.991418 5.790137 8.807408 14.879763 29.076695 71.224767 326.672002
2025-08-10 3.828337 5.590636 8.579629 14.692364 29.357840 74.985030 388.691707
2025-08-17 3.681049 5.409659 8.372577 14.526304 29.667057 79.030864 467.466406
2025-08-24 3.561071 5.268607 8.228466 14.478771 30.285552 84.590793 587.594495
2025-08-31 3.408810 5.064814 7.955893 14.126139 30.010369 86.505684 674.180802
2025-09-07 3.310147 4.948961 7.840198 14.108615 30.681258 92.840160 876.728463
2025-09-14 3.147171 4.714237 7.487770 13.530118 29.637526 91.072623 917.823419
2025-09-21 2.986641 4.478418 7.123328 12.900742 28.371980 87.930733 919.562818